We say: Fiorentina 2-1 Udinese
Udinese average over one goal per game on the road this season, and they certainly have the nous to breach Fiorentina's usually solid defence.
However, the Viola have conceded the fewest second-half goals across Europe's top five leagues - just two - so if they get themselves in front they should stay there.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw has a probability of 16.4% and a win for Udinese has a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.9%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Udinese win it is 0-1 (3.31%).
3.5) 
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