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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Feb 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Rio Ave

Porto
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Diaz (44'), Evanilson (74')
Uribe (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jeronimo (38'), Pinto (72')

Preview: Porto vs. Rio Ave - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Porto welcome Rio Ave to the Estadio do Dragao on Monday evening as the hosts aim to maintain their title charge.

The visitors picked up a surprise point away to table-toppers Sporting Lisbon the last time they were on their travels and will be hopeful that they can pull off another surprise result this time around.


Match preview

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Sergio Conceicao's side have responded to their Taca da Liga semi-final defeat by Sporting well, seeing off Farense 1-0 in the Primeira Liga before beating Gil Vicente in the Taca de Portugal quarter-finals last time out.

The reigning Portuguese champions have been scoring goals for fun throughout 2020-21. Their 37-goal haul after just 15 league games means Porto are the top flight's top scorers, which is no surprise considering they have found the back of the net in every domestic clash this campaign.

Twenty-eight-year-old midfielder Sergio Oliveira has been the key man for Conceicao's men so far. The Portugal international has scored seven league goals and provided four assists, firing his team to second place in the Primeira Liga standings.

The Dragons are looking to win their third league crown in four years but are currently four points behind Ruben Amorim's men, who are yet to lose a league game.

Porto will be desperate to retain their title and cannot afford to lose any more ground on the league leaders.

Rio Ave's Ivo Pinto with teammates after the match on January 15, 2021© Reuters

Miguel Cardoso will be taking charge of his first game as Rio Ave manager on Monday, and the 48-year-old head coach could not have wished for a trickier task to start his reign with.

Ex-manager Pedro Cunha only lasted four games at the helm as Vilacondenses appointed their third manager since Carlos Carvalhal departed the club in the summer.

Rio Ave were unable to build on the impressive point they picked up at the Estadio Jose Alvalade as they were defeated 2-1 by Santa Clara last time out.

Cardoso's men are currently sitting in 10th position in the table after picking up 15 points from their opening 15 games of the campaign. However, despite their mid-table status, the Estadio dos Arcos will be looking nervously over their shoulders.

The Primeira Liga is extremely tight this season, and Rio Ave are only two points above the relegation playoff place.

Any point is precious for sides in their position, and they will be hoping the bounce of a new man at the helm will provide them with the motivation they need to secure one against Porto.

Porto Primeira Liga form: WWWWDW
Porto form (all competitions): WWDLWW

Rio Ave Primeira Liga form: LLLWDL
Rio Ave form (all competitions): LLWLDL


Team News

Porto manager Sergio Conceicao pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Experienced centre-back Ivan Marcano is yet to feature this season after injuring his cruciate ligament back in May and will be unavailable for the visit of Rio Ave.

Porto have been struck by an outbreak of coronavirus within the squad meaning Romario Baro, Nanu and Joao Mario are having to self-isolate and are ruled out of this one.

Rio Ave are without several first-team players themselves, including long-term absentee Junio, who suffered a fibula fracture last season.

He is joined on the treatment table by midfielders Filipe Augusto, Nikola Jambor, Pele and centre-forward Andre Pereira.

Porto possible starting lineup:
Marchesin; Sanusi, Pepe, Mbemba, Manafa; Uribe, Grujic, Oliveira; Diaz, Marega, Corona

Rio Ave possible starting lineup:
Kieszek; Pinto, Borevkovic, Santos, Coentrao; Tarantini, Guga; Meshino, Chico Geraldes, Gabrielzinho; Gelson


SM words green background

We say: Porto 3-1 Rio Ave

Porto have been in good form of late in the league and should have far too much quality for this Rio Ave side. Conceicao's men are desperate to close the gap on Sporting, and only the three points will do on Monday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Porto vs Rio Ave

Porto
91.4%
Draw
5.2%
Rio Ave
3.4%
116
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Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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