MX23RW : Monday, April 14 09:36:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea U21s
4 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Samuels-Smith (2'), Mheuka (9'), McNeilly (64'), Hughes (68')
Hughes (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (87')
Borland (45+1')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich U21s 1-3 Chelsea U21s
Friday, March 14 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-1 Aston Villa U21s
Saturday, March 8 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.99%) and 3-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
48.47% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 20.59% (-0.128 -0.13) 30.93% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 72.53% (0.54100000000001 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.31% (0.676 0.68)25.68% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.19% (0.869 0.87)45.81% (-0.873 -0.87)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (0.264 0.26)11.49% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.64% (0.572 0.57)36.35% (-0.576 -0.58)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.36499999999999 0.36)18.04% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.625 0.63)48.94% (-0.629 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 48.47%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 30.93%
    Draw 20.59%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 5.13% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-0 @ 4.49% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.78% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.58% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.031 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 7.68% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 7.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.07% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.024 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.25% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 30.93%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 6pm
rhs 2.0
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