Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 59.73%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 21.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
