Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 57.99%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-23s would win this match.
