Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Southampton Under-23s win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.