Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
