Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
