Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.11%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Under-23s would win this match.
