Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.