Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 82.84%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.