Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
23.46% | 23.74% | 52.79% |
Both teams to score 54.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% | 46.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.11% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% | 48.36% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |