Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.08% | 27.51% | 32.41% |
Both teams to score 48.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.19% | 56.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.26% | 77.74% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% | 27.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% | 63.31% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% | 32.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.97% | 69.03% |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> Premier League Full Table |