Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Jan 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Gomes (45+1'), Calvert-Lewin (50'), Mina (58'), Allan (82'), Godfrey (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Buendia (45+3')
Martinez (69'), Cash (75'), Mings (86'), Ings (90+3')

Jordan Pickford believes Everton showed graft against Aston Villa

Jordan Pickford believes that Everton showcased graft and intensity during their recent defeat against Aston Villa.

Jan 23, 22:04

Steven Gerrard celebrating Aston Villa's win over Crystal Palace on November 27, 2021

Steven Gerrard hails Aston Villa's character after Everton win

Manager Steven Gerrard hails the character of his Aston Villa side as they post a 1-0 victory over Everton at Goodison Park.

Jan 22, 15:16

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Everton 1-2 Aston Villa

The re-introduction of 'Big Dunc' to the Everton dugout will undoubtedly go down better with the home crowd, but a reinvigorated Villa side will give the interim coach a baptism of fire on Saturday. Results have not always gone Gerrard's way since his return to the Premier League, but we have confidence in the Lions' ability to prolong Everton's misery with another clinical display in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Everton had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Everton	Draw	Aston Villa
36.49%	27.01%	36.5%

Both teams to score 50.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58%

54.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21%

75.79%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33%

28.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51%

64.49%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33%

28.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52%

64.48%

Score Analysis

Everton 36.48%

Aston Villa 36.5%

Draw 27%

Everton	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.5%