Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 2
Leicester

Weghorst (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maddison (82'), Vardy (90')
Dewsbury-Hall (90+1')

Sean Dyche felt Leicester City game 'got away from us'

Burnley manager Sean Dyche admits that his squad did not get to the levels needed during their recent 2-0 loss against Leicester City.

Mar 2, 14:09

Burnley's Nick Pope in action with Leicester City's Patson Daka on March 1, 2022

Nick Pope feels Burnley 'could have done a bit more' against Leicester

Burnley goalkeeper Nick Pope admitted that the Clarets could have done more during their recent 2-0 loss against Leicester City on Wednesday.

Mar 2, 13:54

Leicester City's James Maddison celebrates scoring their first goal with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall on March 1, 2022

Brendan Rodgers explains why he dropped James Maddison against Burnley

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers explains why he left James Maddison out of the starting lineup for the midweek encounter with Burnley.

Mar 2, 13:40

Leicester City's Ricardo Pereira reacts on March 1, 2022

Brendan Rodgers provides Ricardo Pereira injury update

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers gives an update on the fitness of Ricardo Pereira after he was substituted at halftime against Burnley in midweek.

Mar 2, 13:24

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burnley 0-2 Leicester City

With Leicester hoping to be boosted by several major returns from injury, a Burnley side lacking a proper presence up top will surely fall short again once more. The Clarets have their own COVID-19 cluster to worry about, and confidence will not exactly be high after bowing out of the FA Cup to lower-league opposition, so a win and clean sheet should be on the menu for Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Leicester City
29.21%	24.8%	45.99%

Both teams to score 55.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26%

29.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19%

65.8%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01%

52.98%

Score Analysis

Burnley 29.21%

Leicester City 45.99%

Draw 24.79%

Burnley	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.99%