FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 6, 2022 at 4pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest4 - 1Leicester
We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Leicester City
Both clubs will be eager to claim local bragging rights, leading us to predict a high-octane showdown between two teams who have ambitions to improve during the second half of the campaign. Forest should more than match their higher-league neighbours, but we feel that Leicester could edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
| 32.03% | 24.94% | 43.04% |
| Both teams to score 56.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
