Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace3 - 1Everton
We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Everton
Both teams have reached a point in their season where a couple of wins here and there can keep them out of a relegation battle. With that in mind, however, avoiding defeat may be regarded as more important, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
| 40.55% | 28.6% | 30.85% |
| Both teams to score 45.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
