Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')

Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa cannot get carried away'

Manager Steven Gerrard says that Aston Villa cannot afford to get carried away after a second successive Premier League victory against Crystal Palace.

Nov 27, 17:56

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes a look at the potential starting lineup for Crystal Palace this weekend as they host Aston Villa in the Premier League.

We said: Crystal Palace 2-2 Aston Villa

This fixture produced goals last season - eight in two matches - and we are predicting another open match on Saturday afternoon. Both teams have a lot of talent in the forward areas, and we can see the points being shared in an entertaining 2-2 draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
36.12%	27.55%	36.34%

Both teams to score 49.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48%

56.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49%

77.51%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97%

66.03%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21%

29.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13%

65.87%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 36.11%

Aston Villa 36.33%

Draw 27.54%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.33%