Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds1 - 0Crystal Palace
We said: Leeds United 1-2 Crystal Palace
This is an extremely difficult game to call, as Bielsa's Leeds have been resilient at home in recent weeks, while Palace need no lessons in scoring goals away from home. However, with Vieira able to call upon some added attacking quality from the bench, we have faith in the Eagles to return to winning ways on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 51.13% | 25.21% | 23.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
