Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Arouca2 - 0Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Tondela |
| 42.54% | 27.67% | 29.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% | 58.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% | 78.82% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% | 35.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.14% | 71.86% |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 42.53%
Tondela 29.79%
Draw 27.67%
| Arouca | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.79% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Tondela
Arouca
23.9%Draw
23.9%Tondela
52.2%46
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2016 4pm
Tondela
0-1
Arouca
Lima da Cunha (16'), Nascimento (70')
Oct 25, 2015 4pm
