Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 30.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
30.65%	30.67%	38.67%

Both teams to score 39.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.48%

67.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.38%

85.62%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.38%

39.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.7%

76.3%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02%

33.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34%

70.66%

Score Analysis

Arouca 30.65%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.67%

Draw 30.67%

Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.45% Total : 30.65%	0-0 @ 13.46% 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.67%	0-1 @ 14.53% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-3 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.67%