Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
19.06% | 23.58% | 57.36% |
Both teams to score 48.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% | 51.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.87% | 73.13% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% | 41.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.32% | 77.68% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% | 17.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% | 48.29% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 12.59% 0-2 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |