Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS2 - 3Famalicao
We said: AVS 0-2 Famalicao
AVS and Famalicao were both on the wrong end of heavy defeats last time out and will head into the weekend looking to bounce back. While home advantage gives Campelos's men a slight edge, the Vila Nova boast a superior squad on paper and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AVS had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Famalicao |
18.53% ( -0.46) | 24.58% ( -0.2) | 56.9% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.15) | 55.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.13) | 76.88% ( -0.12) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.45) | 44.36% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.58% ( -0.37) | 80.42% ( 0.37) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.32) | 19.5% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.51) | 51.38% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
AVS 18.53%
Famalicao 56.89%
Draw 24.57%
| AVS | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 18.53% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 14.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.55% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 56.89% |
How you voted: AVS vs Famalicao
AVS
0.0%Draw
50.0%Famalicao
50.0%8
