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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 1
AVS

Jason (30')
Rodrigues (7'), Simao (59'), Fontan (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Assuncao (77' pen.)
Silva (45+2'), Fonseca (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

AVS

All competitions
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-0 AVS

 Arouca have netted one league goal in front of their supporters this term — a 1-0 win over promoted Nacional — sandwiched between two losses to Vitoria Guimaraes (1-0) and Sporting (3-0). A tight, low-scoring match is expected in Arouca, with the home side tipped to win 1-0 and extend AVS's winless streak away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for AVS had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawAVS
51.28% (-0.274 -0.27) 22.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.84% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)40.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)63.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.105 -0.11)16.01% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.193 -0.19)45.33% (0.193 0.19)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.157 0.16)28.95% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.196 0.2)64.84% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 51.28%
    AVS 25.84%
    Draw 22.87%
AroucaDrawAVS
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.84%

How you voted: Arouca vs AVS

Arouca
72.9%
Draw
23.7%
AVS
3.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
AVS
1-2
Arouca
Daniel Barbosa da Silva (59')
Sangare (23'), Dioh (90+6')
Alaba (90+5')
Jason (17'), Cristo (67')
Simao (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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