Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicao1 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Braga
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Famalicao 1-0 Gil Vicente
Conclusions cannot be drawn from Famalicao winning two on the trot on their turf — having triumphed in fewer than half of 17 home games last season (six wins, six draws and five defeats) — due to the small sample size. One thing that has stayed the same is Gil Vicente's wretched away record — they lost 12 on the road in 2023-24, drawing two and notching two victories — and have followed that with a 3-0 loss and goalless encounter this term, leaving little choice but to back Fama for a marginal success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
46.12% ( -0.09) | 27.78% ( -0.05) | 26.1% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
