Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
18.85% | 23.73% | 57.41% |
Both teams to score 47.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% | 52.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% | 73.9% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.1% | 41.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.65% | 78.34% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% | 17.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.18% | 48.82% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.85% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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