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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
4 - 2
AVS

Aguirre de Cespedes (37'), Fujimoto (41', 90+4' pen., 90+6')
Carlos (63')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Afonso (32'), Nene (45+3')
Salustiano de Jesus Silva (34'), Clayton (63'), Teixeira (90+3'), Castro (90+9')
Salustiano de Jesus Silva (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 2-1 AVS

Off the back of a humbling loss against Porto, Gil Vicente will head into Friday's clash looking to find their feet and get their season up and running. While we expect AVS to put up a fight, the Gilistas boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with a narrow victory in front of their home super. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AVS had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawAVS
46.69% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 24.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)69.39% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.012 -0.01)20.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)52.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.45% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 46.69%
    AVS 28.56%
    Draw 24.75%
Gil VicenteDrawAVS
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs AVS

Gil Vicente
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
AVS
11.1%
18
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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