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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca

Gil Vicente
2 - 2
Arouca

Toure (90+4'), Buatu Mananga (90+5')
Dominguez (34'), Neto (63'), Buatu Mananga (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cristo (47', 82')
Milovanov (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Arouca
Friday, April 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Arouca

Despite ending their barren run with a victory in their previous outing, Gil Vicente have failed to beat Friday's opponents in any of the last 14 meetings between the two, and we expect that to continue with an Arouca victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
31.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 25.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 43.04% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.72% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.91% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)22.13% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)55.51% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 31.74%
    Arouca 43.04%
    Draw 25.23%
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.74%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Arouca

Gil Vicente
27.8%
Draw
11.1%
Arouca
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Arouca
3-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (45+1', 61', 78')
Mujica (38'), Esgaio (85')
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
Fourth Round
Gil Vicente
1-4
Arouca
Carvalho (17')
Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')
Aug 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Arouca
1-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (1')
Soro (44'), Ruiz (52'), De Arruabarrena (73'), Vitinho (90+1')

Cunha (38'), Carraca (81')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Arouca
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')
Simao (45')
Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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