Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Maritimo |
41.17% | 28.85% | 29.98% |
Both teams to score 44.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.87% | 62.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.17% | 81.83% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% | 29.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% | 65.75% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% | 37.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% | 73.9% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8.05% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.79% Total : 29.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |