Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Maritimo

Estupinan (76'), Rochinha (90+1')
Borevkovic (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Winck (89')
Winck (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
50.42%	26.52%	23.06%

Both teams to score 45.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03%

57.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89%

23.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.04%

56.96%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.21%

40.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63%

77.36%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.4%

Maritimo 23.06%

Draw 26.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.4%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.06%