MX23RW : Monday, January 6 12:37:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium

Umm Salal
3 - 1
Al Ahli

Tannane (17', 65'), Louadni (37')
Al-Sulaimane (77'), Al-Shammari (90+9'), Delort (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sliti (73')
Mohammed Omar (51'), Al Sebai (55')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-4 Al Gharafa
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.

Result
Umm SalalDrawAl Ahli
43.32% (0.199 0.2) 24.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 32.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.105 0.11)20.67% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.166 0.17)53.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)26.59% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.123 -0.12)61.81% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Umm Salal 43.32%
    Al Ahli 32.12%
    Draw 24.55%
Umm SalalDrawAl Ahli
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.12%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-DuhailAl-Duhail118123392425
2Al-SaddAl-Sadd1171333201322
3Al Ahli116412214822
4Al Gharafa116322214821
5Al Shamal115152122-116
6Umm Salal114251720-314
7Al Wakrah114251417-314
8Al-RayyanAl-Rayyan114161721-413
9Al Shahaniya113261621-511
10Al Arabi112451428-1410
11Qatar SC113171328-1510
12Al Khor111461018-87
> Qatar Stars League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!