Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Umm Salal	Draw	Al Shamal
47.67% ( 0.01)	22.82% ( -0.01)	29.51% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.02% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

0.05)

37.66% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

0.05)

59.9% (

-0.05)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

0.02)

16.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.38% (

0.04)

45.62% (

-0.04)

Al Shamal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

0.03)

24.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

0.04)

59.41% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Umm Salal 47.67%

Al Shamal 29.51%

Draw 22.81%

Umm Salal	Draw	Al Shamal
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.67%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.51%