MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:16:33| >> :60:1570:1570:
[monks data]
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Forsberg (70')
Angelino (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Union Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

RB Leipzig host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Wednesday, with the visitors guaranteed to move into the top four of the table at the halfway stage of the season if they can beat Julian Nagelsmann's side.

Leipzig, meanwhile, must win themselves in order to avoid losing any more ground on league leaders Bayern Munich.


Match preview

RB Leipzig's Nordi Mukiele celebrates scoring their first goal with Emil Forsberg on January 16, 2021© Reuters

After losing 3-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund in a humbling defeat, Leipzig travelled to Wolfsburg on Saturday knowing that they were likely to require bouncing back with a victory in order to keep the pressure on Bayern.

However, the Wolves are yet to be defeated at home in the league this season, so winning was always going to be a tall order. Nordi Mukiele smashed Leipzig into the lead in the opening minutes, but Renato Steffen and Wout Weghorst responded to give Oliver Glasner's side the lead at the break.

At that point Nagelsmann would surely have taken a draw, which Willi Orban's goal duly delivered for his side as the game finished 2-2. However, given that Wolfsburg's only two shots on target across the 90 minutes were their two goals, there would have been a tinge of disappointment that Leipzig could not find the breakthrough despite dominating the second half.

Defeating a Union Berlin side who have not lost any of their last six matches, with tough fixtures against Bayern, Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen included in those, is unlikely to prove any easier on Wednesday.

Union Berlin's Robert Andrich celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Indeed, in a world before social distancing, you would have had to pinch Urs Fischer in order for him to believe his side would have a chance of occupying a Champions League qualification position at the halfway stage of only their second ever Bundesliga season.

Having taken 12 points from their last six unbeaten games, though, that is exactly the position Union Berlin find themselves in after Friday night's narrow 1-0 victory over Leverkusen.

As expected, the visitors dominated possession, but Union Berlin were typically tough to break down while still offering plenty of threat in transition with the pace of Sheraldo Becker and Liverpool loanee Taiwo Awoniyi.

However, it was Cedric Teuchert who won the game for his side with his third league goal from the bench this season, showcasing Fischer's surprising strength in depth at his disposal. With Max Kruse hopefully set to return from injury in the coming weeks, the sky is potentially the limit for his side.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form: WWDWLD
RB Leipzig form (all competitions): WDWWLD

Union Berlin Bundesliga form: DDWWDW
Union Berlin form (all competitions): DWLWDW


Team News

RB Leipzig defender Ibrahima Konate pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Leipzig appear to be through the worst of their injury problems, but new signing Dominik Szoboszlai will have to wait to make his debut until next month due to a groin injury.

Ibrahima Konate, Benjamin Henrichs and Konrad Laimer are all ruled out for the visit of Union Berlin.

Union Berlin, meanwhile, will be without top goalscorer Kruse until early February while their talisman recovers from a muscle injury.

Christian Gentner is a doubt for the trip to Leipzig, with Anthony Ujah and Joel Pohjanpalo definitely ruled out.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulasci; Orban, Upamecano, Halstenberg; Mukiele, Kampl, Sabitzer, Angelino; Olmo, Forsberg; Poulsen

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Friedrich, Knoche, Hubner; Trimmel, Lenz, Prommel, Andrich, Ingvartsen; Becker, Awoniyi


SM words green background

We say: RB Leipzig 1-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin are the type of side which Leipzig regularly find difficult to overcome, with Fischer's side likely to sit deep and hit their opponents on the break.

It would not be a surprise to the visitors pick up a creditable draw, then, with Becker and Awoniyi likely to pose Leipzig's centre-backs real issues.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:431095:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8287:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
58.4%
Draw
28.7%
Union Berlin
12.9%
101
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
RB Leipzig's Willi Orban celebrates scoring their second goal against Wolfsburg on January 16, 2021
Read Next:
European roundup: Leipzig miss chance to go top, PSG grind out win
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!