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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
17.16% | 19.19% | 63.64% |
Both teams to score 59.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% | 34.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% | 56.88% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.47% | 33.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.83% | 70.16% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% | 10.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.96% | 34.03% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.72% 1-0 @ 3.83% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.86% Total : 17.16% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-3 @ 6.73% 1-4 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 4.02% 0-4 @ 3.8% 2-4 @ 2.27% 1-5 @ 1.88% 0-5 @ 1.72% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.07% Total : 63.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |