Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
