Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
FT (HT: 0-0)
Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')
We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood
While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19% . A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52% .
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.
Result Al-Ahli Draw Al Okhdood 51.19% ( -0.41) 26.29% ( 0.18) 22.52% ( 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.2)
42.39% ( -0.4) 57.61% ( 0.41)
21.62% ( -0.32) 78.38% ( 0.32)
77.39% ( -0.35) 22.61% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.77% ( -0.52) 56.23% ( 0.53)
58.89% ( 0.01) 41.11% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.35% ( 0.01) 77.65% ( -0.01)
Al-Ahli 51.19%
Al Okhdood 22.52%
Draw 26.28%
Al-Ahli Draw Al Okhdood 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.19% 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.28% 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.52%
How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Okhdood
17
rhs 2.0
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