Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem
With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67% . A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%) . The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.
Result Al-Ahli Draw Al Hazem 41.67% ( -0.38) 28.75% ( 0.42) 29.57% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% ( -1.13)
38.06% ( -1.4) 61.93% ( 1.4)
18.31% ( -1.05) 81.69% ( 1.05)
70.68% ( -0.89) 29.31% ( 0.89)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.71% ( -1.11) 65.29% ( 1.11)
62.67% ( -0.8) 37.32% ( 0.8)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.89% ( -0.8) 74.1% ( 0.79)
Al-Ahli 41.66%
Al Hazem 29.57%
Draw 28.75%
Al-Ahli Draw Al Hazem 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.66% 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.75% 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.57%
How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem
35
rhs 2.0
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