MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:36:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem

Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem

With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
41.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 28.75% (0.417 0.42) 29.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-1.404 -1.4)61.93% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-1.048 -1.05)81.69% (1.045 1.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)29.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.108 -1.11)65.29% (1.106 1.11)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.8 -0.8)37.32% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.797 -0.8)74.1% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 41.66%
    Al Hazem 29.57%
    Draw 28.75%
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem

Al-Ahli
82.9%
Draw
11.4%
Al Hazem
5.7%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Al-Ahli
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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