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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
0 - 0
Esteghlal

FT
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Ahli and Esteghlal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawEsteghlal
53.29%24.11%22.6%
Both teams to score 51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73%49.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.32%
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57%18.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41%49.59%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.66%36.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.88%73.12%
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 53.29%
    Esteghlal 22.6%
    Draw 24.1%
Al-AhliDrawEsteghlal
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.58%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.6%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2021 9.15pm
Group Stage
Esteghlal
5-2
Al-Ahli
Esmaeili (5'), Naderi (54'), Ghaedi (67', 86'), Diabate (88' pen.)
Al Somah (27' pen., 79')
Al Somah (37'), Al Moasher (68')
Sep 23, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Esteghlal
3-0
Al-Ahli
Ghaedi (29'), Karimi (38'), Diabate (54')
Milic (30')

Abdul Ghani (49')
Feb 17, 2020 3.30pm
Group Stage
Al-Ahli
2-1
Esteghlal
Al Moasher (17' pen., 29')
Al-Majhad (27'), Al-Asmari (34'), Hindi (52'), Al Moasher (90+1')
Arsalan Motahari (22')
Cheshmi (1')
rhs 2.0
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