MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:45:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 4
Al-Hilal


Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 0-2 Al-Hilal

While the visitors did drop points in their last match, they were by far the more dominant side in the match, and we expect them to dictate this one as well. The hosts were very poor in their first two matches, and with very little threat shown in attack, we feel they may suffer their third consecutive shutout in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
11.28% (0.071 0.07) 17.97% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 70.74% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.45% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.69% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.083999999999996 0.08)65.09% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (0.181 0.18)46.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67% (0.14 0.14)82.33% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 11.28%
    Al-Hilal 70.72%
    Draw 17.97%
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.28%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.97%
0-2 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Hilal

Al Raed
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Al-Hilal
78.9%
19
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal55001651115
2Al Ittihad5401156912
3Al ShababAl Shabab540152312
4Al-Nassr5320113811
5Al Quadisiya531151410
6Al Ettifaq531155010
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli52127527
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun52125417
9Al Orubah521267-17
10Al Riyadh5212810-27
11Al RaedAl Raed51138624
12Al Kholood5113711-44
13Al Okhdood511359-44
14Al Khaleej511327-54
15Al Fayha5113310-74
16Al WahdaAl Wahda5113614-84
17Damac5104710-33
18Al Fateh5104410-63


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