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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 4
Al-Hilal


Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 0-2 Al-Hilal

While the visitors did drop points in their last match, they were by far the more dominant side in the match, and we expect them to dictate this one as well. The hosts were very poor in their first two matches, and with very little threat shown in attack, we feel they may suffer their third consecutive shutout in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
11.28% (0.071 0.07) 17.97% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 70.74% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.45% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.69% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.083999999999996 0.08)65.09% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (0.181 0.18)46.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67% (0.14 0.14)82.33% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 11.28%
    Al-Hilal 70.72%
    Draw 17.97%
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.28%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.97%
0-2 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Hilal

Al Raed
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Al-Hilal
78.9%
19
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
7Al Khaleej105141212016
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha11146720-137
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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