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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Raith Rovers

Hibernian
2 - 1
Raith Rovers

Youan (57'), Vente (69')
Megwa (26'), Doidge (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (68')
Byrne (36'), Stanton (87')
Dick (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Raith Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 Hibernian
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Morton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Raith Rovers

 Despite potentially having one eye on the Aston Villa game to come in midweek, Hibs may still play a strong enough side to get the job done here, taking confidence from the result on Thursday. Getting a result away at Kilmarnock earlier in the campaign shows Raith are capable of competing, but they will have to hope that Hibs have something of a European hangover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.

Result
HibernianDrawRaith Rovers
46.99% (0.433 0.43) 22.92% (0.131 0.13) 30.08% (-0.566 -0.57)
Both teams to score 63.02% (-0.844 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)37.82% (0.958 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (-1.036 -1.04)60.07% (1.033 1.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.209 -0.21)16.47% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (-0.376 -0.38)46.18% (0.373 0.37)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.821 -0.82)24.54% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-1.168 -1.17)59.02% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 46.99%
    Raith Rovers 30.08%
    Draw 22.92%
HibernianDrawRaith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.184 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Fifth Round
Hibernian
3-1
Raith Rovers
Horgan (22'), Slivka (38'), McNulty (58')
Murray (75')
> Match Report
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Hibernian
3-2
Raith Rovers
Keatings (41', 93'), Holt (81')
Keatings (26'), Ambrose (75')
McManus (67'), Hardie (85')
McManus (67'), McHattie (71'), Court (79'), Thompson (92')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Raith Rovers
1-1
Hibernian
Stevenson (52')
Matthews (70')
Cummings (60')
Graham (41'), Keatings (73'), Bartley (92')
Dec 24, 2016 1pm
Hibernian
1-1
Raith Rovers
Boyle (88')
Martin (62')
M'Voto (49')
Skacel (45'), Thompson (55'), Barr (92')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-0
Hibernian
McManus (32'), Thompson (45'), Matthews (58'), Callachan (64'), Benedictus (66')
Holt (24')
Bartley (38')
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