Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
42.95% ( 0.05) | 25.42% | 31.63% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.39% ( -0.02) | 48.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.27% ( -0.01) | 70.73% ( 0.02) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 0.03) | 56.14% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.04) | 28.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.05) | 64.76% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |