Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
42.95% ( 0.05) | 25.42% | 31.63% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.39% ( -0.02) | 48.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.27% ( -0.01) | 70.73% ( 0.02) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 0.03) | 56.14% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.04) | 28.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.05) | 64.76% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |