Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.