Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
59.85% | 23.22% | 16.93% |
Both teams to score 45.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.09% | 52.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% | 74.52% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.64% | 17.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.25% | 47.75% |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.35% | 80.65% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.85% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |