Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Jan 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
1 - 2
Celtic

Boyce (62')
Devlin (45'), Halkett (61'), Boyce (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hatate (27'), Giakoumakis (35')
Taylor (45'), Jota (45'), Bitton (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the SPL's strongest teams competing against each other is always going to bring a close match, with both squads looking to push further up the table. However, the slight edge that Celtic have is their ability in front of goal, and that is something that should help them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Celtic
23.52%	23.33%	53.14%

Both teams to score 55.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61%

67.38%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84%

33.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.24%

69.76%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09%

16.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04%

46.96%

Score Analysis

Hearts 23.52%

Celtic 53.14%

Draw 23.33%

Hearts	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 6.19% 2-1 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.52%	1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 5.79% 0-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.14%