Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.83%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 7.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
79.83% | 13.14% | 7.03% |
Both teams to score 46.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.33% | 33.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.5% | 55.49% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.41% | 6.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.5% | 24.5% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.14% | 49.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.44% | 84.56% |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
2-0 @ 12.15% 3-0 @ 11.02% 1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 7.67% 4-0 @ 7.5% 4-1 @ 5.22% 5-0 @ 4.08% 5-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.67% 6-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.34% Total : 79.82% | 1-1 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.28% 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.14% | 0-1 @ 2.29% 1-2 @ 2.16% Other @ 2.58% Total : 7.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |