Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 41.77%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.