Burgos

1 - 1

Lugo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.