Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.