Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Ponferradina0 - 3Cartagena
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Cartagena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-0 Ponferradina
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Cartagena
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Cartagena |
34.41% ( -1.71) | 28.83% ( 0.33) | 36.76% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 45.31% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.73% ( -1.18) | 61.27% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.8% ( -0.89) | 81.19% ( 0.89) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.55% ( -1.73) | 33.45% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.92% ( -1.94) | 70.08% ( 1.94) |
Cartagena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( 0.28) | 31.91% ( -0.28) |