Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.